I have learned that it seems you can only get a slight idea what a buck might do, sometimes they really surprise, sometimes they make a minimal jump in score and sometimes they flat out disappoint. Its all on how long you wanna raise them, for example, I decided from now on If I have a two year old that I feel has little to no chance to hit 200" at three yrs old, then I will send him out as a 2 year old and not put anymore money into them. If I get 2 year olds scoring 160" or more with extras and some potential, I will raise them another year and hope for a 190" 3 year old at worst. I will say, that in my expirence I have never had a 2 year old typical 4X4 ever jump much more than 20 inches (most times not even that much) sometimes they might be a 9 or a 10 point the following year, but if they have no extras as a 4X4, they rarely score considerably more the following year. I hope this helps. If you do keep him, I hope he does well for you next year.